Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate moderate uncertainty in the September 20 overnight minimum, with projected lows centered near 14–15°C amid a mix of northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling while steering warmer, moister air from the north, supporting the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes in trader positioning. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs reflect variable timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress the daily low, consistent with historical spring variability where minimums fluctuate several degrees around the 13–16°C climatological range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 20 de setembro?
10°C ou menos 100%
20°C ou mais 97%
12°C 40%
11°C 38%
10°C ou menos
100%
11°C
38%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C ou mais
97%
10°C ou menos 100%
20°C ou mais 97%
12°C 40%
11°C 38%
10°C ou menos
100%
11°C
38%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C ou mais
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate moderate uncertainty in the September 20 overnight minimum, with projected lows centered near 14–15°C amid a mix of northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling while steering warmer, moister air from the north, supporting the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes in trader positioning. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs reflect variable timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress the daily low, consistent with historical spring variability where minimums fluctuate several degrees around the 13–16°C climatological range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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