Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 18, driven by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure regime. Historical September climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, with clear skies and minimal moisture advection favoring the upper end of that range. Limited cloud cover and dew points around 23–24°C support efficient surface warming without significant evaporative cooling, while the absence of tropical systems or frontal boundaries keeps steering patterns stable. Updated model runs and observational trends from the past 24–48 hours reinforce this narrow band, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 18 de setembro?
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
NOVO
$17,996 Vol.
NOVO
$17,996 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
44%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
NOVO
$17,996 Vol.
NOVO
$17,996 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$199 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$557 Vol.
1%
30°C
$961 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,542 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,752 Vol.
32%
33°C
$4,711 Vol.
44%
34°C
$3,850 Vol.
16%
35°C
$1,606 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 18, driven by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure regime. Historical September climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, with clear skies and minimal moisture advection favoring the upper end of that range. Limited cloud cover and dew points around 23–24°C support efficient surface warming without significant evaporative cooling, while the absence of tropical systems or frontal boundaries keeps steering patterns stable. Updated model runs and observational trends from the past 24–48 hours reinforce this narrow band, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,996Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 18, driven by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure regime. Historical September climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, with clear skies and minimal moisture advection favoring the upper end of that range. Limited cloud cover and dew points around 23–24°C support efficient surface warming without significant evaporative cooling, while the absence of tropical systems or frontal boundaries keeps steering patterns stable. Updated model runs and observational trends from the past 24–48 hours reinforce this narrow band, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,996Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 18, driven by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure regime. Historical September climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, with clear skies and minimal moisture advection favoring the upper end of that range. Limited cloud cover and dew points around 23–24°C support efficient surface warming without significant evaporative cooling, while the absence of tropical systems or frontal boundaries keeps steering patterns stable. Updated model runs and observational trends from the past 24–48 hours reinforce this narrow band, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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