Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through mid-September 2026 show exceptional (D4) conditions persisting across portions of Colorado (15.2% of the state), New Mexico (7.9%), Idaho (7.9%), and smaller areas of Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, and Mississippi, driven by the warmest June–August on record combined with below-normal precipitation that intensified flash drought in the Rockies and Intermountain West. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessments integrate precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, streamflow, and vegetation indices against historical baselines. The next map, incorporating conditions through approximately September 22, will reflect any relief from the 6–10-day outlook favoring above-normal rainfall across the Southwest and Eastern Seaboard, while central regions face below-normal precipitation that could sustain or expand D4 thresholds in vulnerable states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSeca excepcional (D4) por estado — semana de 22 de setembro de 2026
Seca excepcional (D4) por estado — semana de 22 de setembro de 2026
NOVO
24 set 2026
Alabama
4%
Arizona
3%
Arkansas
95%
Califórnia
4%
Colorado
99%
Delaware
3%
Flórida
5%
Geórgia
4%
Idaho
96%
Illinois
4%
Indiana
4%
Iowa
3%
Kansas
3%
Kentucky
3%
Louisiana
3%
Maryland
3%
Minnesota
3%
Mississippi
94%
Missouri
5%
Montana
3%
Nebraska
93%
Nevada
95%
Nova Jersey
3%
Novo México
98%
Carolina do Norte
78%
Dakota do Norte
5%
Ohio
3%
Oklahoma
98%
Oregon
95%
Pensilvânia
3%
Carolina do Sul
4%
Dakota do Sul
4%
Tennessee
3%
Texas
97%
Utah
88%
Virgínia
4%
Washington
4%
Virgínia Ocidental
3%
Wisconsin
5%
Wyoming
5%
$1,784 Vol.
Alabama
$0 Vol.
4%
Arizona
$0 Vol.
3%
Arkansas
$64 Vol.
95%
Califórnia
$0 Vol.
4%
Colorado
$80 Vol.
99%
Delaware
$0 Vol.
3%
Flórida
$121 Vol.
5%
Geórgia
$0 Vol.
4%
Idaho
$455 Vol.
96%
Illinois
$0 Vol.
4%
Indiana
$0 Vol.
4%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
3%
Kansas
$0 Vol.
3%
Kentucky
$0 Vol.
3%
Louisiana
$0 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$0 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$0 Vol.
3%
Mississippi
$20 Vol.
94%
Missouri
$0 Vol.
5%
Montana
$0 Vol.
3%
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
93%
Nevada
$0 Vol.
95%
Nova Jersey
$0 Vol.
3%
Novo México
$479 Vol.
98%
Carolina do Norte
$20 Vol.
78%
Dakota do Norte
$0 Vol.
5%
Ohio
$0 Vol.
3%
Oklahoma
$181 Vol.
98%
Oregon
$0 Vol.
95%
Pensilvânia
$0 Vol.
3%
Carolina do Sul
$0 Vol.
4%
Dakota do Sul
$0 Vol.
4%
Tennessee
$0 Vol.
3%
Texas
$204 Vol.
97%
Utah
$160 Vol.
88%
Virgínia
$0 Vol.
4%
Washington
$0 Vol.
4%
Virgínia Ocidental
$0 Vol.
3%
Wisconsin
$0 Vol.
5%
Wyoming
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Arizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Arkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
California carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Delaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Florida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Idaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Illinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Indiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Iowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Kansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Kentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Louisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Maryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Minnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Missouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Montana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
New Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
North Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Ohio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Oklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Oregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
South Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
South Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Tennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Texas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Virginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Washington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Wisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Wyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through mid-September 2026 show exceptional (D4) conditions persisting across portions of Colorado (15.2% of the state), New Mexico (7.9%), Idaho (7.9%), and smaller areas of Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, and Mississippi, driven by the warmest June–August on record combined with below-normal precipitation that intensified flash drought in the Rockies and Intermountain West. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessments integrate precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, streamflow, and vegetation indices against historical baselines. The next map, incorporating conditions through approximately September 22, will reflect any relief from the 6–10-day outlook favoring above-normal rainfall across the Southwest and Eastern Seaboard, while central regions face below-normal precipitation that could sustain or expand D4 thresholds in vulnerable states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,784Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Arizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Arkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
California carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Delaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Florida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Idaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Illinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Indiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Iowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Kansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Kentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Louisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Maryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Minnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Missouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Montana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
New Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
North Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Ohio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Oklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Oregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
South Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
South Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Tennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Texas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Virginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Washington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Wisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Wyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through mid-September 2026 show exceptional (D4) conditions persisting across portions of Colorado (15.2% of the state), New Mexico (7.9%), Idaho (7.9%), and smaller areas of Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, and Mississippi, driven by the warmest June–August on record combined with below-normal precipitation that intensified flash drought in the Rockies and Intermountain West. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessments integrate precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, streamflow, and vegetation indices against historical baselines. The next map, incorporating conditions through approximately September 22, will reflect any relief from the 6–10-day outlook favoring above-normal rainfall across the Southwest and Eastern Seaboard, while central regions face below-normal precipitation that could sustain or expand D4 thresholds in vulnerable states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$1,784Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through mid-September 2026 show exceptional (D4) conditions persisting across portions of Colorado (15.2% of the state), New Mexico (7.9%), Idaho (7.9%), and smaller areas of Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, and Mississippi, driven by the warmest June–August on record combined with below-normal precipitation that intensified flash drought in the Rockies and Intermountain West. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessments integrate precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, streamflow, and vegetation indices against historical baselines. The next map, incorporating conditions through approximately September 22, will reflect any relief from the 6–10-day outlook favoring above-normal rainfall across the Southwest and Eastern Seaboard, while central regions face below-normal precipitation that could sustain or expand D4 thresholds in vulnerable states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions