Recent forecast models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Manila on September 20, which should limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C range. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and light steering winds favor afternoon convection that typically caps peaks near or slightly above the September climatological average of 31 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift consensus toward higher or lower thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 20 de setembro?
32°C 37%
34°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 21%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
21%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 37%
34°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 21%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
37%
33°C
$4 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
34%
35°C
$0 Vol.
21%
36°C
$0 Vol.
15%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Manila on September 20, which should limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C range. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and light steering winds favor afternoon convection that typically caps peaks near or slightly above the September climatological average of 31 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift consensus toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$6Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Manila on September 20, which should limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C range. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and light steering winds favor afternoon convection that typically caps peaks near or slightly above the September climatological average of 31 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift consensus toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including PAGASA and global ensembles point to scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Manila on September 20, which should limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C range. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and light steering winds favor afternoon convection that typically caps peaks near or slightly above the September climatological average of 31 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift consensus toward higher or lower thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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