Current weather forecasts for Istanbul on September 20 indicate a daily high of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, with northeast winds around 15–25 km/h and low precipitation chances below 15%. Multiple models, including those from meteorological agencies, converge on this range amid a cooling trend after recent warmer days, placing the most likely outcomes near seasonal norms for mid-September. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C and 25°C as the modal results, reflecting consensus on stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C account for minor uncertainties in cloud cover or local variations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 20 de setembro?
24°C 44%
23°C 40%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
20°C ou menos
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
44%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C ou mais
2%
24°C 44%
23°C 40%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
20°C ou menos
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
44%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather forecasts for Istanbul on September 20 indicate a daily high of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, with northeast winds around 15–25 km/h and low precipitation chances below 15%. Multiple models, including those from meteorological agencies, converge on this range amid a cooling trend after recent warmer days, placing the most likely outcomes near seasonal norms for mid-September. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C and 25°C as the modal results, reflecting consensus on stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C account for minor uncertainties in cloud cover or local variations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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