Forecast models for Istanbul's September 20 minimum temperature show tight clustering between 16–21°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official observations from regional stations indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 17°C and standard deviations of 2–3°C driven by Atlantic moisture advection or high-pressure subsidence. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes near 50% implied probability highlights the sensitivity of daily minimums to small shifts in dew point and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 15°C requiring stronger cold-air intrusions not currently supported by ensemble guidance. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 20 de setembro?
14°C ou menos 100%
17°C 100%
21°C 100%
20°C 51%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
14°C ou menos
100%
15°C
13%
16°C
18%
17°C
100%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
51%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
14°C ou menos 100%
17°C 100%
21°C 100%
20°C 51%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$61 Vol.
47%
19°C
$53 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
51%
21°C
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul's September 20 minimum temperature show tight clustering between 16–21°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official observations from regional stations indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 17°C and standard deviations of 2–3°C driven by Atlantic moisture advection or high-pressure subsidence. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes near 50% implied probability highlights the sensitivity of daily minimums to small shifts in dew point and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 15°C requiring stronger cold-air intrusions not currently supported by ensemble guidance. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$207Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul's September 20 minimum temperature show tight clustering between 16–21°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official observations from regional stations indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 17°C and standard deviations of 2–3°C driven by Atlantic moisture advection or high-pressure subsidence. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes near 50% implied probability highlights the sensitivity of daily minimums to small shifts in dew point and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 15°C requiring stronger cold-air intrusions not currently supported by ensemble guidance. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$207Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Istanbul's September 20 minimum temperature show tight clustering between 16–21°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official observations from regional stations indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 17°C and standard deviations of 2–3°C driven by Atlantic moisture advection or high-pressure subsidence. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes near 50% implied probability highlights the sensitivity of daily minimums to small shifts in dew point and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 15°C requiring stronger cold-air intrusions not currently supported by ensemble guidance. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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