**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 30–31°C for Beijing on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, backed by stable high-pressure patterns following a recent warming trend, positions 31°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C capturing secondary support. Historical late-September averages near 25°C provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and low uncertainty in short-term guidance reinforce trader confidence in the narrow 30–32°C band. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any last-minute frontal shifts or cloud cover as the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim em 22 de setembro?
31°C 56%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
29°C 7%
$25,340 Vol.
$25,340 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
56%
32°C
15%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
29°C 7%
$25,340 Vol.
$25,340 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
56%
32°C
15%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 30–31°C for Beijing on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, backed by stable high-pressure patterns following a recent warming trend, positions 31°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C capturing secondary support. Historical late-September averages near 25°C provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and low uncertainty in short-term guidance reinforce trader confidence in the narrow 30–32°C band. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any last-minute frontal shifts or cloud cover as the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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