Persistent marine layer conditions, deepened by a cut-off low over the region, are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco and anchoring the highest temperature near the mid-60s on September 21. Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs project a high around 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph, consistent with September’s typical marine influence before the seasonal retreat allows warmer inland air. Recent observations show elevated stratus and high clouds further limiting insolation, reducing the chance of reaching 68°F or above. Traders have priced the 66–67°F bin highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting this consensus while assigning lower odds to warmer bins given the stable onshore flow and lack of forecast shifts in the latest updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 21 de setembro?
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 28%
68-69°F 21%
21-21,6°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
61°F ou menos
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
21%
21-21,6°C
5%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 28%
68-69°F 21%
21-21,6°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
61°F ou menos
$204 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$498 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$1,683 Vol.
28%
66-67°F
$933 Vol.
43%
68-69°F
$1,508 Vol.
21%
21-21,6°C
$683 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$219 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$165 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$287 Vol.
<1%
80°F ou mais
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, deepened by a cut-off low over the region, are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco and anchoring the highest temperature near the mid-60s on September 21. Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs project a high around 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph, consistent with September’s typical marine influence before the seasonal retreat allows warmer inland air. Recent observations show elevated stratus and high clouds further limiting insolation, reducing the chance of reaching 68°F or above. Traders have priced the 66–67°F bin highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting this consensus while assigning lower odds to warmer bins given the stable onshore flow and lack of forecast shifts in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,244Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, deepened by a cut-off low over the region, are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco and anchoring the highest temperature near the mid-60s on September 21. Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs project a high around 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph, consistent with September’s typical marine influence before the seasonal retreat allows warmer inland air. Recent observations show elevated stratus and high clouds further limiting insolation, reducing the chance of reaching 68°F or above. Traders have priced the 66–67°F bin highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting this consensus while assigning lower odds to warmer bins given the stable onshore flow and lack of forecast shifts in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,244Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions, deepened by a cut-off low over the region, are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco and anchoring the highest temperature near the mid-60s on September 21. Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs project a high around 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph, consistent with September’s typical marine influence before the seasonal retreat allows warmer inland air. Recent observations show elevated stratus and high clouds further limiting insolation, reducing the chance of reaching 68°F or above. Traders have priced the 66–67°F bin highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting this consensus while assigning lower odds to warmer bins given the stable onshore flow and lack of forecast shifts in the latest updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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