Recent KMA guidance and international model runs point to an Incheon high near 29 °C on 21 September under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 27 °C and 28 °C. Afternoon temperature maxima hinge on small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global models show comparable probabilities for 27–29 °C outcomes, consistent with the tight market distribution and the typical late-summer variability observed in the Seoul metropolitan area. Updated 06–12 UTC model cycles and the official KMA afternoon briefing are the next likely catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 21 de setembro?
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
NOVO
$26,085 Vol.
NOVO
$26,085 Vol.
21 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
42%
28°C
39%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
NOVO
$26,085 Vol.
NOVO
$26,085 Vol.
21 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,287 Vol.
1%
26°C
$4,322 Vol.
13%
27°C
$4,580 Vol.
42%
28°C
$7,158 Vol.
39%
29°C
$2,201 Vol.
10%
30°C
$1,219 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,500 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and international model runs point to an Incheon high near 29 °C on 21 September under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 27 °C and 28 °C. Afternoon temperature maxima hinge on small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global models show comparable probabilities for 27–29 °C outcomes, consistent with the tight market distribution and the typical late-summer variability observed in the Seoul metropolitan area. Updated 06–12 UTC model cycles and the official KMA afternoon briefing are the next likely catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$26,085Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and international model runs point to an Incheon high near 29 °C on 21 September under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 27 °C and 28 °C. Afternoon temperature maxima hinge on small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global models show comparable probabilities for 27–29 °C outcomes, consistent with the tight market distribution and the typical late-summer variability observed in the Seoul metropolitan area. Updated 06–12 UTC model cycles and the official KMA afternoon briefing are the next likely catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,085Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA guidance and international model runs point to an Incheon high near 29 °C on 21 September under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 27 °C and 28 °C. Afternoon temperature maxima hinge on small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; even modest increases in low-level moisture or slight wind shifts can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global models show comparable probabilities for 27–29 °C outcomes, consistent with the tight market distribution and the typical late-summer variability observed in the Seoul metropolitan area. Updated 06–12 UTC model cycles and the official KMA afternoon briefing are the next likely catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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