Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus position a minimum near 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon on September 21, with clear to mostly clear skies under a stable high-pressure system supporting radiative cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C because current runs show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with late-September climatology of 17–20°C lows and minimal moisture or cloud cover to moderate the diurnal range. Fresh 20 September model updates have reinforced this narrow band, with only modest upside risk from slightly stronger winds or a minor timing shift in clearing. The market will resolve on official station observations once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 21 de setembro?
19°C 48%
20°C 23%
18°C 18%
17°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
18%
19°C
48%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 48%
20°C 23%
18°C 18%
17°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$31 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$32 Vol.
6%
16°C
$19 Vol.
8%
17°C
$47 Vol.
13%
18°C
$564 Vol.
18%
19°C
$1,398 Vol.
48%
20°C
$625 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6 Vol.
1%
24°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus position a minimum near 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon on September 21, with clear to mostly clear skies under a stable high-pressure system supporting radiative cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C because current runs show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with late-September climatology of 17–20°C lows and minimal moisture or cloud cover to moderate the diurnal range. Fresh 20 September model updates have reinforced this narrow band, with only modest upside risk from slightly stronger winds or a minor timing shift in clearing. The market will resolve on official station observations once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,754Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus position a minimum near 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon on September 21, with clear to mostly clear skies under a stable high-pressure system supporting radiative cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C because current runs show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with late-September climatology of 17–20°C lows and minimal moisture or cloud cover to moderate the diurnal range. Fresh 20 September model updates have reinforced this narrow band, with only modest upside risk from slightly stronger winds or a minor timing shift in clearing. The market will resolve on official station observations once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,754Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus position a minimum near 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon on September 21, with clear to mostly clear skies under a stable high-pressure system supporting radiative cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C because current runs show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with late-September climatology of 17–20°C lows and minimal moisture or cloud cover to moderate the diurnal range. Fresh 20 September model updates have reinforced this narrow band, with only modest upside risk from slightly stronger winds or a minor timing shift in clearing. The market will resolve on official station observations once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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