Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20, supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 19°C. Clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime are promoting modest overnight radiative cooling without the influence of stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18°C, placing the current outlook close to normal. Updated model runs overnight show little spread, with the primary variables being exact wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 20 de setembro?
19°C 50%
16°C 37%
20°C 13%
18°C 11%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
37%
17°C
7%
18°C
11%
19°C
50%
20°C
21%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 50%
16°C 37%
20°C 13%
18°C 11%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
37%
17°C
7%
18°C
11%
19°C
50%
20°C
21%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20, supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 19°C. Clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime are promoting modest overnight radiative cooling without the influence of stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18°C, placing the current outlook close to normal. Updated model runs overnight show little spread, with the primary variables being exact wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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