**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 22 de setembro?
1°C ou menos 89%
11°C ou mais 89%
3°C 40%
2°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
1°C ou menos
89%
2°C
39%
3°C
40%
4°C
21%
5°C
23%
6°C
21%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C ou mais
89%
1°C ou menos 89%
11°C ou mais 89%
3°C 40%
2°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
1°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
89%
2°C
$0 Vol.
39%
3°C
$0 Vol.
40%
4°C
$0 Vol.
21%
5°C
$0 Vol.
23%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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