Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 22 de setembro?
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 25%
21-22°C 20%
64-65°F 14%
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
35%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 25%
21-22°C 20%
64-65°F 14%
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
35%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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