Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
36%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$485 Vol.
1%
28°C
$262 Vol.
4%
29°C
$314 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,022 Vol.
26%
31°C
$251 Vol.
36%
32°C
$566 Vol.
22%
33°C
$180 Vol.
8%
34°C
$345 Vol.
1%
35°C ou mais
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,885Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,885Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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