Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and ensemble forecasts point to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and easterly flow on September 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a maximum near 30–31 °C. Weak pressure gradients and lingering upper-level disturbances promote cloud cover that reduces solar insolation, while moderate humidity and light winds (around 10–15 km/h) further moderate peak temperatures. Historical late-September climatology shows typical maxima of 29–32 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next routine forecast update and real-time temperature readings will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 22 de setembro?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
25°C ou menos
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
25°C ou menos
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and ensemble forecasts point to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and easterly flow on September 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a maximum near 30–31 °C. Weak pressure gradients and lingering upper-level disturbances promote cloud cover that reduces solar insolation, while moderate humidity and light winds (around 10–15 km/h) further moderate peak temperatures. Historical late-September climatology shows typical maxima of 29–32 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next routine forecast update and real-time temperature readings will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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