Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, driven by a stable, moist tropical air mass with light easterly winds and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s, supporting limited diurnal temperature range consistent with late-summer climatology. Scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected but unlikely to alter the thermal profile substantially. With resolution imminent, the 88% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects strong consensus across official guidance, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for minor forecast uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
27°C 88%
26°C 9%
25°C 5%
22°C ou menos 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
22°C ou menos
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
88%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 88%
26°C 9%
25°C 5%
22°C ou menos 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$424 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$469 Vol.
5%
26°C
$914 Vol.
9%
27°C
$2,821 Vol.
88%
28°C
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$329 Vol.
1%
31°C
$333 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, driven by a stable, moist tropical air mass with light easterly winds and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s, supporting limited diurnal temperature range consistent with late-summer climatology. Scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected but unlikely to alter the thermal profile substantially. With resolution imminent, the 88% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects strong consensus across official guidance, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for minor forecast uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,944Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, driven by a stable, moist tropical air mass with light easterly winds and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s, supporting limited diurnal temperature range consistent with late-summer climatology. Scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected but unlikely to alter the thermal profile substantially. With resolution imminent, the 88% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects strong consensus across official guidance, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for minor forecast uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,944Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, driven by a stable, moist tropical air mass with light easterly winds and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s, supporting limited diurnal temperature range consistent with late-summer climatology. Scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected but unlikely to alter the thermal profile substantially. With resolution imminent, the 88% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects strong consensus across official guidance, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for minor forecast uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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