Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model consensus project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C for September 20, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering generally clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal overnight cooling under elevated dew points near 24–25 °C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity typically prevent sharper drops. With the market assigning 99 % implied probability to exactly 27 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the low likelihood of significant deviations from current steering patterns or convective activity. A realistic shift would require either unexpected widespread cloud cover or an unforecast surge in moisture that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
27°C 99.0%
25°C 1.9%
26°C 1.1%
22°C ou menos <1%
$27,291 Vol.
$27,291 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 99.0%
25°C 1.9%
26°C 1.1%
22°C ou menos <1%
$27,291 Vol.
$27,291 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,123 Vol.
2%
26°C
$6,906 Vol.
1%
27°C
$11,762 Vol.
99%
28°C
$6,108 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model consensus project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C for September 20, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering generally clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal overnight cooling under elevated dew points near 24–25 °C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity typically prevent sharper drops. With the market assigning 99 % implied probability to exactly 27 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the low likelihood of significant deviations from current steering patterns or convective activity. A realistic shift would require either unexpected widespread cloud cover or an unforecast surge in moisture that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$27,291Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model consensus project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C for September 20, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering generally clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal overnight cooling under elevated dew points near 24–25 °C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity typically prevent sharper drops. With the market assigning 99 % implied probability to exactly 27 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the low likelihood of significant deviations from current steering patterns or convective activity. A realistic shift would require either unexpected widespread cloud cover or an unforecast surge in moisture that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,291Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model consensus project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C for September 20, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering generally clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal overnight cooling under elevated dew points near 24–25 °C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity typically prevent sharper drops. With the market assigning 99 % implied probability to exactly 27 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the low likelihood of significant deviations from current steering patterns or convective activity. A realistic shift would require either unexpected widespread cloud cover or an unforecast surge in moisture that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions