Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a cool northwesterly flow and widespread showers limiting daytime heating over Warsaw on September 22, producing forecast highs clustered between 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 75–85 percent, and moderate northwest winds around 10–15 mph suppress solar insolation and reduce the potential for brief afternoon warming. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the narrow 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in precipitation timing and exact peak values amid autumnal transition patterns. Updated model guidance and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 22 de setembro?
16°C 42%
17°C 42%
15°C 31%
18°C 22%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
11°C ou menos
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
14%
15°C
31%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
22%
19°C
16%
20°C
4%
21°C ou mais
4%
16°C 42%
17°C 42%
15°C 31%
18°C 22%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
7%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$48 Vol.
42%
17°C
$1,103 Vol.
42%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a cool northwesterly flow and widespread showers limiting daytime heating over Warsaw on September 22, producing forecast highs clustered between 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 75–85 percent, and moderate northwest winds around 10–15 mph suppress solar insolation and reduce the potential for brief afternoon warming. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the narrow 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in precipitation timing and exact peak values amid autumnal transition patterns. Updated model guidance and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,152Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a cool northwesterly flow and widespread showers limiting daytime heating over Warsaw on September 22, producing forecast highs clustered between 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 75–85 percent, and moderate northwest winds around 10–15 mph suppress solar insolation and reduce the potential for brief afternoon warming. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the narrow 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in precipitation timing and exact peak values amid autumnal transition patterns. Updated model guidance and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,152Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a cool northwesterly flow and widespread showers limiting daytime heating over Warsaw on September 22, producing forecast highs clustered between 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 75–85 percent, and moderate northwest winds around 10–15 mph suppress solar insolation and reduce the potential for brief afternoon warming. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the narrow 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model spread in precipitation timing and exact peak values amid autumnal transition patterns. Updated model guidance and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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