**Persistent cool, moist westerly flow and widespread cloud cover associated with a passing low-pressure system are driving the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C for Warsaw’s September 21 high.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, global models, and regional guidance consistently show daytime maxima near 15°C under overcast skies, light-to-moderate showers, and brisk westerly winds that limit diurnal warming. This represents a noticeable drop from the 19–21°C readings observed on September 20 as cooler maritime air replaces the preceding milder regime. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 16°C, so the current setup sits slightly below normal yet within typical late-summer variability. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (48.5 %) while allowing modest probability for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Resolution will occur within hours via official Polish meteorological observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
15°C 49%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
17°C 4%
NOVO
$10,338 Vol.
NOVO
$10,338 Vol.
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
25%
15°C
49%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
17°C 4%
NOVO
$10,338 Vol.
NOVO
$10,338 Vol.
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$211 Vol.
1%
12°C
$56 Vol.
2%
13°C
$285 Vol.
3%
14°C
$3,405 Vol.
25%
15°C
$1,227 Vol.
49%
16°C
$3,895 Vol.
26%
17°C
$321 Vol.
4%
18°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$191 Vol.
1%
20°C ou mais
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cool, moist westerly flow and widespread cloud cover associated with a passing low-pressure system are driving the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C for Warsaw’s September 21 high.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, global models, and regional guidance consistently show daytime maxima near 15°C under overcast skies, light-to-moderate showers, and brisk westerly winds that limit diurnal warming. This represents a noticeable drop from the 19–21°C readings observed on September 20 as cooler maritime air replaces the preceding milder regime. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 16°C, so the current setup sits slightly below normal yet within typical late-summer variability. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (48.5 %) while allowing modest probability for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Resolution will occur within hours via official Polish meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,338Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cool, moist westerly flow and widespread cloud cover associated with a passing low-pressure system are driving the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C for Warsaw’s September 21 high.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, global models, and regional guidance consistently show daytime maxima near 15°C under overcast skies, light-to-moderate showers, and brisk westerly winds that limit diurnal warming. This represents a noticeable drop from the 19–21°C readings observed on September 20 as cooler maritime air replaces the preceding milder regime. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 16°C, so the current setup sits slightly below normal yet within typical late-summer variability. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (48.5 %) while allowing modest probability for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Resolution will occur within hours via official Polish meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,338Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cool, moist westerly flow and widespread cloud cover associated with a passing low-pressure system are driving the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C for Warsaw’s September 21 high.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, global models, and regional guidance consistently show daytime maxima near 15°C under overcast skies, light-to-moderate showers, and brisk westerly winds that limit diurnal warming. This represents a noticeable drop from the 19–21°C readings observed on September 20 as cooler maritime air replaces the preceding milder regime. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 16°C, so the current setup sits slightly below normal yet within typical late-summer variability. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15°C (48.5 %) while allowing modest probability for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Resolution will occur within hours via official Polish meteorological observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions