Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 9–10°C for Warsaw on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while official station measurements introduce additional resolution uncertainty. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10°C, so the near-even odds reflect model spread and last-minute atmospheric adjustments rather than a strong consensus for extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the ECMWF or local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 22 de setembro?
4°C ou menos 100%
14°C ou mais 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
4°C ou menos
100%
5°C
37%
6°C
37%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C ou mais
98%
4°C ou menos 100%
14°C ou mais 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
4°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
5°C
$0 Vol.
37%
6°C
$0 Vol.
37%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
37%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 9–10°C for Warsaw on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while official station measurements introduce additional resolution uncertainty. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10°C, so the near-even odds reflect model spread and last-minute atmospheric adjustments rather than a strong consensus for extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the ECMWF or local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 9–10°C for Warsaw on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while official station measurements introduce additional resolution uncertainty. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10°C, so the near-even odds reflect model spread and last-minute atmospheric adjustments rather than a strong consensus for extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the ECMWF or local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 9–10°C for Warsaw on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while official station measurements introduce additional resolution uncertainty. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10°C, so the near-even odds reflect model spread and last-minute atmospheric adjustments rather than a strong consensus for extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the ECMWF or local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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