Official forecasts for Istanbul on September 19 project a daytime high of 24–26°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and GFS runs shows stable high-pressure conditions driving this range, following cooler readings earlier in the week and a departure from mid-September peaks above 30°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 24°C as the implied mode, reflecting tight clustering in numerical guidance and historical September averages near 23°C, while lower probabilities on 25°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread typical of short-range predictions. No major updates have shifted this outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 19 de setembro?
24°C 69%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C 3%
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
69%
25°C
15%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 69%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C 3%
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
69%
25°C
15%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Istanbul on September 19 project a daytime high of 24–26°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and GFS runs shows stable high-pressure conditions driving this range, following cooler readings earlier in the week and a departure from mid-September peaks above 30°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 24°C as the implied mode, reflecting tight clustering in numerical guidance and historical September averages near 23°C, while lower probabilities on 25°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread typical of short-range predictions. No major updates have shifted this outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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