Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an afternoon high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C or higher (46.5%) and 24°C (36%). The city's high elevation near 2,240 meters typically caps September maxima around the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with current model runs showing limited cloud cover or rain suppressing further warming. Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minor spread due to variable steering flows, yet consensus supports mild conditions without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on verified station readings expected within hours of peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 18 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 47%
24°C 36%
23°C 15%
22°C 3%
NOVO
$20,069 Vol.
NOVO
$20,069 Vol.
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
36%
25°C ou mais
47%
25°C ou mais 47%
24°C 36%
23°C 15%
22°C 3%
NOVO
$20,069 Vol.
NOVO
$20,069 Vol.
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$31 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,671 Vol.
3%
23°C
$4,425 Vol.
15%
24°C
$4,596 Vol.
36%
25°C ou mais
$6,445 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an afternoon high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C or higher (46.5%) and 24°C (36%). The city's high elevation near 2,240 meters typically caps September maxima around the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with current model runs showing limited cloud cover or rain suppressing further warming. Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minor spread due to variable steering flows, yet consensus supports mild conditions without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on verified station readings expected within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,069Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an afternoon high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C or higher (46.5%) and 24°C (36%). The city's high elevation near 2,240 meters typically caps September maxima around the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with current model runs showing limited cloud cover or rain suppressing further warming. Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minor spread due to variable steering flows, yet consensus supports mild conditions without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on verified station readings expected within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,069Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an afternoon high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C or higher (46.5%) and 24°C (36%). The city's high elevation near 2,240 meters typically caps September maxima around the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with current model runs showing limited cloud cover or rain suppressing further warming. Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minor spread due to variable steering flows, yet consensus supports mild conditions without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on verified station readings expected within hours of peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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