**Mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover are positioning London’s September 17 high near 20–21 °C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs issued in the past 24–48 hours converge on a daytime maximum of 20 °C, with limited sunshine and a chance of light rain or drizzle during the morning and early afternoon keeping temperatures from rising further. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler Atlantic air masses, where typical mid-September highs in London range 18–21 °C. The 51 % market-implied probability on 21 °C and 30 % on 20 °C reflect trader assessment of the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the low odds on 22 °C or higher acknowledge the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification in current forecasts. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings through the morning of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 17 de setembro?
21°C 51%
20°C 30%
22°C 15%
19°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
30%
21°C
51%
22°C
15%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 51%
20°C 30%
22°C 15%
19°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$155 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$184 Vol.
1%
18°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,755 Vol.
5%
20°C
$1,422 Vol.
30%
21°C
$1,138 Vol.
51%
22°C
$764 Vol.
15%
23°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$149 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover are positioning London’s September 17 high near 20–21 °C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs issued in the past 24–48 hours converge on a daytime maximum of 20 °C, with limited sunshine and a chance of light rain or drizzle during the morning and early afternoon keeping temperatures from rising further. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler Atlantic air masses, where typical mid-September highs in London range 18–21 °C. The 51 % market-implied probability on 21 °C and 30 % on 20 °C reflect trader assessment of the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the low odds on 22 °C or higher acknowledge the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification in current forecasts. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings through the morning of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,466Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover are positioning London’s September 17 high near 20–21 °C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs issued in the past 24–48 hours converge on a daytime maximum of 20 °C, with limited sunshine and a chance of light rain or drizzle during the morning and early afternoon keeping temperatures from rising further. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler Atlantic air masses, where typical mid-September highs in London range 18–21 °C. The 51 % market-implied probability on 21 °C and 30 % on 20 °C reflect trader assessment of the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the low odds on 22 °C or higher acknowledge the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification in current forecasts. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings through the morning of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,466Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover are positioning London’s September 17 high near 20–21 °C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs issued in the past 24–48 hours converge on a daytime maximum of 20 °C, with limited sunshine and a chance of light rain or drizzle during the morning and early afternoon keeping temperatures from rising further. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler Atlantic air masses, where typical mid-September highs in London range 18–21 °C. The 51 % market-implied probability on 21 °C and 30 % on 20 °C reflect trader assessment of the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the low odds on 22 °C or higher acknowledge the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification in current forecasts. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings through the morning of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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