Current forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS-based models positions the overnight low for September 16 near 13°C under moderate westerly winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Highs are expected around 19–20°C with minimal precipitation risk, keeping conditions close to seasonal September averages for London. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C at 61.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 20.5%, while 14°C sits at just 16.5%. No major model shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs, supporting trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de setembro?
13°C 62%
12°C 21%
14°C 17%
15°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
8°C ou menos
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
21%
13°C
62%
14°C
17%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C ou mais
1%
13°C 62%
12°C 21%
14°C 17%
15°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
8°C ou menos
$31 Vol.
1%
9°C
$31 Vol.
1%
10°C
$16 Vol.
1%
11°C
$16 Vol.
1%
12°C
$822 Vol.
21%
13°C
$932 Vol.
62%
14°C
$270 Vol.
17%
15°C
$75 Vol.
2%
16°C
$31 Vol.
1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
1%
18°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS-based models positions the overnight low for September 16 near 13°C under moderate westerly winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Highs are expected around 19–20°C with minimal precipitation risk, keeping conditions close to seasonal September averages for London. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C at 61.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 20.5%, while 14°C sits at just 16.5%. No major model shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs, supporting trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,285Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS-based models positions the overnight low for September 16 near 13°C under moderate westerly winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Highs are expected around 19–20°C with minimal precipitation risk, keeping conditions close to seasonal September averages for London. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C at 61.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 20.5%, while 14°C sits at just 16.5%. No major model shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs, supporting trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,285Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS-based models positions the overnight low for September 16 near 13°C under moderate westerly winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Highs are expected around 19–20°C with minimal precipitation risk, keeping conditions close to seasonal September averages for London. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C at 61.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 20.5%, while 14°C sits at just 16.5%. No major model shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs, supporting trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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