Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 17 high near 26°C in Qingdao under increasing cloud cover and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29°C peak expected on September 16. Coastal moderation and the shift to overcast conditions reduce the likelihood of 28–29°C readings, though lingering warm advection from prior days keeps those outcomes priced above 26°C in trader positioning. Official Chinese meteorological guidance aligns with this trajectory, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting a narrow diurnal range. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine exact maxima and any late-day clearing that could push temperatures higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 17 de setembro?
28°C 39%
27°C 28%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
22°C ou menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
28%
28°C
39%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C ou mais
3%
28°C 39%
27°C 28%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$243 Vol.
1%
23°C
$156 Vol.
1%
24°C
$103 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$12 Vol.
10%
27°C
$156 Vol.
28%
28°C
$388 Vol.
39%
29°C
$14 Vol.
18%
30°C
$26 Vol.
6%
31°C
$19 Vol.
4%
32°C ou mais
$197 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 17 high near 26°C in Qingdao under increasing cloud cover and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29°C peak expected on September 16. Coastal moderation and the shift to overcast conditions reduce the likelihood of 28–29°C readings, though lingering warm advection from prior days keeps those outcomes priced above 26°C in trader positioning. Official Chinese meteorological guidance aligns with this trajectory, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting a narrow diurnal range. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine exact maxima and any late-day clearing that could push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,303Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 17 high near 26°C in Qingdao under increasing cloud cover and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29°C peak expected on September 16. Coastal moderation and the shift to overcast conditions reduce the likelihood of 28–29°C readings, though lingering warm advection from prior days keeps those outcomes priced above 26°C in trader positioning. Official Chinese meteorological guidance aligns with this trajectory, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting a narrow diurnal range. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine exact maxima and any late-day clearing that could push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,303Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 17 high near 26°C in Qingdao under increasing cloud cover and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29°C peak expected on September 16. Coastal moderation and the shift to overcast conditions reduce the likelihood of 28–29°C readings, though lingering warm advection from prior days keeps those outcomes priced above 26°C in trader positioning. Official Chinese meteorological guidance aligns with this trajectory, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting a narrow diurnal range. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine exact maxima and any late-day clearing that could push temperatures higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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