Forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a mostly cloudy day in Qingdao on September 17 with southeast winds of 3-4 levels and a projected minimum temperature near 22°C, consistent with seasonal mid-September patterns of gradual cooling from summer highs. This baseline supports market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 42.5% as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential downward revisions from variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, or slight model disagreements on overnight radiative cooling. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised 24-hour guidance will likely influence further adjustments, given the resolution hinges on the precise daily low recorded by official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 17 de setembro?
29°C ou mais 52%
19°C ou menos 42%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
19°C ou menos
42%
20°C
31%
21°C
27%
22°C
10%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C ou mais
52%
29°C ou mais 52%
19°C ou menos 42%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
19°C ou menos
42%
20°C
31%
21°C
27%
22°C
10%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C ou mais
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a mostly cloudy day in Qingdao on September 17 with southeast winds of 3-4 levels and a projected minimum temperature near 22°C, consistent with seasonal mid-September patterns of gradual cooling from summer highs. This baseline supports market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 42.5% as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential downward revisions from variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, or slight model disagreements on overnight radiative cooling. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised 24-hour guidance will likely influence further adjustments, given the resolution hinges on the precise daily low recorded by official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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