Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, with afternoon thunderstorms and westerly flow limiting peak heating. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while moderating surface temperatures, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. This setup reflects a transient trough that suppresses the typical late-summer warming seen in prior weeks. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from the next model cycle could shift implied probabilities if convective timing or cloud breaks allow greater insolation than currently projected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 16 de setembro?
26°C 43%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
NOVO
$39,849 Vol.
NOVO
$39,849 Vol.
16 set 2026
23°C ou menos
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
43%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
NOVO
$39,849 Vol.
NOVO
$39,849 Vol.
16 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$3,000 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10,316 Vol.
7%
25°C
$5,097 Vol.
24%
26°C
$5,003 Vol.
43%
27°C
$6,568 Vol.
21%
28°C
$3,659 Vol.
5%
29°C
$540 Vol.
1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,369 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, with afternoon thunderstorms and westerly flow limiting peak heating. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while moderating surface temperatures, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. This setup reflects a transient trough that suppresses the typical late-summer warming seen in prior weeks. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from the next model cycle could shift implied probabilities if convective timing or cloud breaks allow greater insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$39,849Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, with afternoon thunderstorms and westerly flow limiting peak heating. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while moderating surface temperatures, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. This setup reflects a transient trough that suppresses the typical late-summer warming seen in prior weeks. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from the next model cycle could shift implied probabilities if convective timing or cloud breaks allow greater insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,849Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, with afternoon thunderstorms and westerly flow limiting peak heating. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while moderating surface temperatures, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. This setup reflects a transient trough that suppresses the typical late-summer warming seen in prior weeks. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from the next model cycle could shift implied probabilities if convective timing or cloud breaks allow greater insolation than currently projected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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