Recent National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a stalled frontal boundary and lingering moisture across portions of the eastern and central United States as the main drivers of precipitation chances on September 16. Short-range models show elevated probabilities of measurable rain, often 50-80 percent, in the Northeast, Midwest, and parts of the Southeast, while the Southwest and interior West exhibit more variable convective activity tied to monsoon remnants or local heating. Forecasters distinguish between widespread stratiform rain and scattered thunderstorms, with resolution hinging on exact geographic boundaries and minimum precipitation thresholds. Updated model runs and 6-hour probability of precipitation products from NOAA will refine these fields through the evening, as steering patterns and moisture transport remain sensitive to small shifts in the upper-level flow. Traders should monitor the next National Weather Service forecast discussions for any adjustments to timing or intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde vai chover no dia 16 de setembro?
Nova York, NY
22%
Los Angeles, CA
27%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
9%
Phoenix, AZ
47%
Filadélfia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
49%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
43%
Seattle, WA
8%
Boston, MA
23%
Nova Orleans, LA
54%
San Francisco, CA
49%
$322 Vol.
Nova York, NY
22%
Los Angeles, CA
27%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
9%
Phoenix, AZ
47%
Filadélfia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
49%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
43%
Seattle, WA
8%
Boston, MA
23%
Nova Orleans, LA
54%
San Francisco, CA
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a stalled frontal boundary and lingering moisture across portions of the eastern and central United States as the main drivers of precipitation chances on September 16. Short-range models show elevated probabilities of measurable rain, often 50-80 percent, in the Northeast, Midwest, and parts of the Southeast, while the Southwest and interior West exhibit more variable convective activity tied to monsoon remnants or local heating. Forecasters distinguish between widespread stratiform rain and scattered thunderstorms, with resolution hinging on exact geographic boundaries and minimum precipitation thresholds. Updated model runs and 6-hour probability of precipitation products from NOAA will refine these fields through the evening, as steering patterns and moisture transport remain sensitive to small shifts in the upper-level flow. Traders should monitor the next National Weather Service forecast discussions for any adjustments to timing or intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions