Recent PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a weakening southwest monsoon and increased easterly influence over Metro Manila, favoring partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms on September 15. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and light winds, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near 30-31°C according to ensemble guidance. Historical September climatology for Manila shows average highs of 31°C, providing context for the current setup. Trader positioning favoring 32-33°C as leading outcomes likely reflects recent drier intervals or model spread, yet fresh data releases from official monitoring and updated runs emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key suppressors of peak temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 15 de setembro?
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
27°C ou menos
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
34%
33°C
51%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C ou mais
2%
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$63 Vol.
3%
30°C
$179 Vol.
3%
31°C
$307 Vol.
7%
32°C
$655 Vol.
34%
33°C
$2,218 Vol.
51%
34°C
$405 Vol.
9%
35°C
$282 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a weakening southwest monsoon and increased easterly influence over Metro Manila, favoring partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms on September 15. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and light winds, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near 30-31°C according to ensemble guidance. Historical September climatology for Manila shows average highs of 31°C, providing context for the current setup. Trader positioning favoring 32-33°C as leading outcomes likely reflects recent drier intervals or model spread, yet fresh data releases from official monitoring and updated runs emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key suppressors of peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,051Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a weakening southwest monsoon and increased easterly influence over Metro Manila, favoring partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms on September 15. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and light winds, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near 30-31°C according to ensemble guidance. Historical September climatology for Manila shows average highs of 31°C, providing context for the current setup. Trader positioning favoring 32-33°C as leading outcomes likely reflects recent drier intervals or model spread, yet fresh data releases from official monitoring and updated runs emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key suppressors of peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,051Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a weakening southwest monsoon and increased easterly influence over Metro Manila, favoring partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms on September 15. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and light winds, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near 30-31°C according to ensemble guidance. Historical September climatology for Manila shows average highs of 31°C, providing context for the current setup. Trader positioning favoring 32-33°C as leading outcomes likely reflects recent drier intervals or model spread, yet fresh data releases from official monitoring and updated runs emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key suppressors of peak temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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