Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON-EU, and GFS models indicate a southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies will bring a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Warsaw on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects above-normal early-autumn warmth relative to the long-term September average of roughly 18°C, driven by a transient ridge rather than strong advection. Minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 24%, respectively. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 16 de setembro?
24°C 51%
23°C 30%
25°C 26%
22°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
51%
25°C
26%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 30%
25°C 26%
22°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$153 Vol.
51%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON-EU, and GFS models indicate a southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies will bring a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Warsaw on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects above-normal early-autumn warmth relative to the long-term September average of roughly 18°C, driven by a transient ridge rather than strong advection. Minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 24%, respectively. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$153Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON-EU, and GFS models indicate a southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies will bring a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Warsaw on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects above-normal early-autumn warmth relative to the long-term September average of roughly 18°C, driven by a transient ridge rather than strong advection. Minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 24%, respectively. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$153Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON-EU, and GFS models indicate a southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies will bring a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Warsaw on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects above-normal early-autumn warmth relative to the long-term September average of roughly 18°C, driven by a transient ridge rather than strong advection. Minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 24%, respectively. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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