Recent monsoon influences, including a westward-moving system bringing intermittent light rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover to southeastern Sindh, represent the main driver tempering daytime heating in Karachi. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 16 with southwest sea breezes sustaining high humidity near 60-80%, limiting solar insolation and convective mixing. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 33-34°C per multiple model runs, consistent with market-implied probabilities, while historical September baselines and the prior day's 39.5°C reading underscore how moisture and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from hotter, clearer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service and PMD briefings on steering patterns and precipitation timing will refine the final observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 16 de setembro?
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 17%
32°C 9%
29°C ou menos
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 17%
32°C 9%
29°C ou menos
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon influences, including a westward-moving system bringing intermittent light rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover to southeastern Sindh, represent the main driver tempering daytime heating in Karachi. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 16 with southwest sea breezes sustaining high humidity near 60-80%, limiting solar insolation and convective mixing. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 33-34°C per multiple model runs, consistent with market-implied probabilities, while historical September baselines and the prior day's 39.5°C reading underscore how moisture and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from hotter, clearer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service and PMD briefings on steering patterns and precipitation timing will refine the final observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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