Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature of 31–32 °C in Paris on September 15 under mostly clear to covered skies, with southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and minimal cloud interference or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (51.5 %) and 33 °C (27.5 %), reflecting model consensus above the 21–22 °C September climatological average and building on today’s already elevated 28 °C readings. Minor spread remains around exact afternoon maxima due to possible thin high cloud or wind shifts, keeping 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities while lower outcomes stay improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de setembro?
32°C 51%
33°C 28%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
$11,699 Vol.
$11,699 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 28%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
$11,699 Vol.
$11,699 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature of 31–32 °C in Paris on September 15 under mostly clear to covered skies, with southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and minimal cloud interference or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (51.5 %) and 33 °C (27.5 %), reflecting model consensus above the 21–22 °C September climatological average and building on today’s already elevated 28 °C readings. Minor spread remains around exact afternoon maxima due to possible thin high cloud or wind shifts, keeping 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities while lower outcomes stay improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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