Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 72°F for Chicago on September 16, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage on the 15th. Increased cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below the climatological average of 76°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the low 70s, with limited upside potential from any late-day clearing. This scientific consensus on post-frontal stabilization underpins trader positioning toward the 70–73°F range as the most probable outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 16 de setembro?
72-73°F 46%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 8%
63°F ou menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou mais
<1%
72-73°F 46%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 8%
63°F ou menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 72°F for Chicago on September 16, driven by northeast winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage on the 15th. Increased cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below the climatological average of 76°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the low 70s, with limited upside potential from any late-day clearing. This scientific consensus on post-frontal stabilization underpins trader positioning toward the 70–73°F range as the most probable outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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