Trader consensus on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Onshore marine air and the typical September marine layer limit daytime warming despite recent clear periods, while model consensus shows modest afternoon clearing that could push readings into the low 70s depending on exact wind direction and cloud timing. Historical September highs average around 69°F, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly here rather than favoring cooler or warmer bins. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model shifts will be key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 17 de setembro?
21-22°C 44%
72-73°F 37%
20-21°C 11%
74-75°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
63°F ou menos
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
20-21°C
11%
21-22°C
44%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F ou mais
<1%
21-22°C 44%
72-73°F 37%
20-21°C 11%
74-75°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
63°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
4%
20-21°C
$67 Vol.
11%
21-22°C
$83 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$1,224 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$232 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82°F ou mais
$2,208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Onshore marine air and the typical September marine layer limit daytime warming despite recent clear periods, while model consensus shows modest afternoon clearing that could push readings into the low 70s depending on exact wind direction and cloud timing. Historical September highs average around 69°F, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly here rather than favoring cooler or warmer bins. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model shifts will be key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,814Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Onshore marine air and the typical September marine layer limit daytime warming despite recent clear periods, while model consensus shows modest afternoon clearing that could push readings into the low 70s depending on exact wind direction and cloud timing. Historical September highs average around 69°F, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly here rather than favoring cooler or warmer bins. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model shifts will be key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,814Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 17, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Onshore marine air and the typical September marine layer limit daytime warming despite recent clear periods, while model consensus shows modest afternoon clearing that could push readings into the low 70s depending on exact wind direction and cloud timing. Historical September highs average around 69°F, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly here rather than favoring cooler or warmer bins. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model shifts will be key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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