The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 31°C daily maximum under the influence of a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge has anchored trader consensus at that level. Persistent clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5 have limited cloud cover and moisture, keeping daytime heating aligned with climatological norms for mid-September rather than allowing further intensification. Real-time station readings through midday have remained consistent with the 31°C threshold, with limited model divergence in short-range guidance. A realistic shift toward 32°C or higher would require either an unexpected weakening of the monsoon flow or localized urban heat effects exceeding observational averages, both of which appear improbable given the current synoptic pattern and the day's remaining hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 16 de setembro?
31°C 85%
32°C 17%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$101,322 Vol.
$101,322 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
85%
32°C
17%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 85%
32°C 17%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$101,322 Vol.
$101,322 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$704 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36,932 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,188 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$23,949 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,229 Vol.
85%
32°C
$9,271 Vol.
17%
33°C
$6,841 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,664 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 31°C daily maximum under the influence of a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge has anchored trader consensus at that level. Persistent clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5 have limited cloud cover and moisture, keeping daytime heating aligned with climatological norms for mid-September rather than allowing further intensification. Real-time station readings through midday have remained consistent with the 31°C threshold, with limited model divergence in short-range guidance. A realistic shift toward 32°C or higher would require either an unexpected weakening of the monsoon flow or localized urban heat effects exceeding observational averages, both of which appear improbable given the current synoptic pattern and the day's remaining hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$101,322Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 31°C daily maximum under the influence of a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge has anchored trader consensus at that level. Persistent clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5 have limited cloud cover and moisture, keeping daytime heating aligned with climatological norms for mid-September rather than allowing further intensification. Real-time station readings through midday have remained consistent with the 31°C threshold, with limited model divergence in short-range guidance. A realistic shift toward 32°C or higher would require either an unexpected weakening of the monsoon flow or localized urban heat effects exceeding observational averages, both of which appear improbable given the current synoptic pattern and the day's remaining hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$101,322Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 31°C daily maximum under the influence of a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge has anchored trader consensus at that level. Persistent clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5 have limited cloud cover and moisture, keeping daytime heating aligned with climatological norms for mid-September rather than allowing further intensification. Real-time station readings through midday have remained consistent with the 31°C threshold, with limited model divergence in short-range guidance. A realistic shift toward 32°C or higher would require either an unexpected weakening of the monsoon flow or localized urban heat effects exceeding observational averages, both of which appear improbable given the current synoptic pattern and the day's remaining hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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