Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate a high near 33°C for Singapore on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market's 71.5% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–32°C at Changi, with typical afternoon peaks moderated by humidity near 70% and sea breezes; current model consensus supports modest warming above the monthly mean without significant tropical disturbance. Trader positioning reflects this short-range stability, though minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could elevate the slim 7.5% odds for 34°C if insolation increases. Updated numerical weather predictions from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst for any probability shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 15 de setembro?
33°C 72%
32°C 20%
34°C 8%
30°C 5%
28°C ou menos
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
72%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
1%
33°C 72%
32°C 20%
34°C 8%
30°C 5%
28°C ou menos
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
72%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate a high near 33°C for Singapore on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market's 71.5% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–32°C at Changi, with typical afternoon peaks moderated by humidity near 70% and sea breezes; current model consensus supports modest warming above the monthly mean without significant tropical disturbance. Trader positioning reflects this short-range stability, though minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could elevate the slim 7.5% odds for 34°C if insolation increases. Updated numerical weather predictions from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours represent the key catalyst for any probability shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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