Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a high near 82°F in New York City on September 13 under a warm, moist air mass with showers likely, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 30.5% implied probability. Differentiating the clustered 78-83°F outcomes are variables in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Above-average warmth relative to the 77.5°F climatological high reflects onshore flow and elevated dew points, though widespread rain reduces the chance of exceeding 85°F. Updated high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 13 de setembro?
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
73°F ou menos
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
8%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
3%
32°C-33°C
1%
92°F ou mais
1%
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
73°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$41 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$511 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$231 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$92 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$413 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$532 Vol.
8%
30-31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C-33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
92°F ou mais
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a high near 82°F in New York City on September 13 under a warm, moist air mass with showers likely, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 30.5% implied probability. Differentiating the clustered 78-83°F outcomes are variables in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Above-average warmth relative to the 77.5°F climatological high reflects onshore flow and elevated dew points, though widespread rain reduces the chance of exceeding 85°F. Updated high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,872Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a high near 82°F in New York City on September 13 under a warm, moist air mass with showers likely, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 30.5% implied probability. Differentiating the clustered 78-83°F outcomes are variables in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Above-average warmth relative to the 77.5°F climatological high reflects onshore flow and elevated dew points, though widespread rain reduces the chance of exceeding 85°F. Updated high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,872Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a high near 82°F in New York City on September 13 under a warm, moist air mass with showers likely, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 30.5% implied probability. Differentiating the clustered 78-83°F outcomes are variables in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Above-average warmth relative to the 77.5°F climatological high reflects onshore flow and elevated dew points, though widespread rain reduces the chance of exceeding 85°F. Updated high-resolution model runs and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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