Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou inferior <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,970 Vol.
$113,970 Vol.
22°C ou inferior
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou inferior <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,970 Vol.
$113,970 Vol.
22°C ou inferior
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions