Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 99%
23°C 32%
21°C 28%
24°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
28%
22°C
14%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C ou mais
99%
25°C ou mais 99%
23°C 32%
21°C 28%
24°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$4 Vol.
28%
22°C
$10 Vol.
14%
23°C
$1 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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