Trader consensus assigns 95% implied probability to an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 18, driven by National Weather Service station observations and NOAA surface analyses showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology typically features lows near 70°F, yet recent model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicated suppressed radiative cooling amid elevated dew points and daytime maxima in the mid-90s. These verified measurements align closely with the leading outcome bin. Final National Centers for Environmental Information data could still shift resolution if quality-control adjustments alter the official minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 18 de setembro?
82-83°F 95%
80-81°F 89%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
$264 Vol.
$264 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
89%
82-83°F
95%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 95%
80-81°F 89%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
$264 Vol.
$264 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$41 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$32 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$71 Vol.
89%
82-83°F
$38 Vol.
95%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns 95% implied probability to an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 18, driven by National Weather Service station observations and NOAA surface analyses showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology typically features lows near 70°F, yet recent model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicated suppressed radiative cooling amid elevated dew points and daytime maxima in the mid-90s. These verified measurements align closely with the leading outcome bin. Final National Centers for Environmental Information data could still shift resolution if quality-control adjustments alter the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$264Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns 95% implied probability to an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 18, driven by National Weather Service station observations and NOAA surface analyses showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology typically features lows near 70°F, yet recent model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicated suppressed radiative cooling amid elevated dew points and daytime maxima in the mid-90s. These verified measurements align closely with the leading outcome bin. Final National Centers for Environmental Information data could still shift resolution if quality-control adjustments alter the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$264Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns 95% implied probability to an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 18, driven by National Weather Service station observations and NOAA surface analyses showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology typically features lows near 70°F, yet recent model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicated suppressed radiative cooling amid elevated dew points and daytime maxima in the mid-90s. These verified measurements align closely with the leading outcome bin. Final National Centers for Environmental Information data could still shift resolution if quality-control adjustments alter the official minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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