Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 19 as the most likely outcome, supported by partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk that day. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions under stable high pressure before a shift toward increased moisture and thunderstorms on the 20th. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C with moderate humidity around 60–70%, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-September yet slightly above the long-term average high of about 30°C. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 33°C at 39.5%, followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting limited model spread and the narrow window before official verification. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on September 18 will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 19 de setembro?
33°C 41%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
41%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
1%
30°C
$184 Vol.
5%
31°C
$123 Vol.
8%
32°C
$309 Vol.
27%
33°C
$711 Vol.
41%
34°C
$392 Vol.
23%
35°C
$116 Vol.
6%
36°C
$111 Vol.
2%
37°C
$88 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 19 as the most likely outcome, supported by partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk that day. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions under stable high pressure before a shift toward increased moisture and thunderstorms on the 20th. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C with moderate humidity around 60–70%, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-September yet slightly above the long-term average high of about 30°C. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 33°C at 39.5%, followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting limited model spread and the narrow window before official verification. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on September 18 will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,712Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 19 as the most likely outcome, supported by partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk that day. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions under stable high pressure before a shift toward increased moisture and thunderstorms on the 20th. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C with moderate humidity around 60–70%, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-September yet slightly above the long-term average high of about 30°C. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 33°C at 39.5%, followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting limited model spread and the narrow window before official verification. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on September 18 will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,712Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 19 as the most likely outcome, supported by partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk that day. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions under stable high pressure before a shift toward increased moisture and thunderstorms on the 20th. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C with moderate humidity around 60–70%, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-September yet slightly above the long-term average high of about 30°C. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 33°C at 39.5%, followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting limited model spread and the narrow window before official verification. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on September 18 will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions