Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C in Shenzhen on September 19, driven by a stable subtropical high, light easterly flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows highs of 32–33°C transitioning to overnight lows around 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and without significant frontal or tropical influences expected in the next 48 hours. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects this model consensus and historical analogs, while the notable share for warmer thresholds highlights uncertainty around any localized warming or measurement timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and regional observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 19 de setembro?
31°C ou mais 92%
21°C ou menos 90%
25°C 47%
22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
21°C ou menos
90%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
47%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
38%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C ou mais
92%
31°C ou mais 92%
21°C ou menos 90%
25°C 47%
22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$2 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C in Shenzhen on September 19, driven by a stable subtropical high, light easterly flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows highs of 32–33°C transitioning to overnight lows around 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and without significant frontal or tropical influences expected in the next 48 hours. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects this model consensus and historical analogs, while the notable share for warmer thresholds highlights uncertainty around any localized warming or measurement timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and regional observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C in Shenzhen on September 19, driven by a stable subtropical high, light easterly flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows highs of 32–33°C transitioning to overnight lows around 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and without significant frontal or tropical influences expected in the next 48 hours. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects this model consensus and historical analogs, while the notable share for warmer thresholds highlights uncertainty around any localized warming or measurement timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and regional observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C in Shenzhen on September 19, driven by a stable subtropical high, light easterly flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows highs of 32–33°C transitioning to overnight lows around 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and without significant frontal or tropical influences expected in the next 48 hours. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects this model consensus and historical analogs, while the notable share for warmer thresholds highlights uncertainty around any localized warming or measurement timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and regional observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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