Consensus forecasts from regional models point to a minimum near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high boundary-layer moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 24–26°C, with recent days featuring similar subtropical conditions and minimal cold-air advection. Differences among leading outcomes (26°C at 35%, 21°C or below at 33%) stem from uncertainty in cloud persistence and dew-point depression overnight; clearer skies would enhance cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or lingering cloud cover would keep the minimum closer to 26°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 17 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 67%
31°C ou mais 67%
26°C 50%
27°C 45%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
21°C ou menos
67%
22°C
35%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
14%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
15%
31°C ou mais
67%
21°C ou menos 67%
31°C ou mais 67%
26°C 50%
27°C 45%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
67%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$5 Vol.
14%
26°C
$22 Vol.
34%
27°C
$70 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from regional models point to a minimum near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high boundary-layer moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 24–26°C, with recent days featuring similar subtropical conditions and minimal cold-air advection. Differences among leading outcomes (26°C at 35%, 21°C or below at 33%) stem from uncertainty in cloud persistence and dew-point depression overnight; clearer skies would enhance cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or lingering cloud cover would keep the minimum closer to 26°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$98Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from regional models point to a minimum near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high boundary-layer moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 24–26°C, with recent days featuring similar subtropical conditions and minimal cold-air advection. Differences among leading outcomes (26°C at 35%, 21°C or below at 33%) stem from uncertainty in cloud persistence and dew-point depression overnight; clearer skies would enhance cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or lingering cloud cover would keep the minimum closer to 26°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from regional models point to a minimum near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high boundary-layer moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 24–26°C, with recent days featuring similar subtropical conditions and minimal cold-air advection. Differences among leading outcomes (26°C at 35%, 21°C or below at 33%) stem from uncertainty in cloud persistence and dew-point depression overnight; clearer skies would enhance cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or lingering cloud cover would keep the minimum closer to 26°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions