Recent forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above historical extremes. High humidity levels near 90% and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops, aligning with climatological averages for mid-September in the region. The closely matched market-implied odds around 47% for both sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine short-term model uncertainty over exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which can shift nocturnal temperatures by several degrees. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs ahead of September 18 will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 18 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 92%
30°C ou mais 91%
24°C 40%
27°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
92%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
40%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
23%
28°C
37%
29°C
38%
30°C ou mais
91%
20°C ou menos 92%
30°C ou mais 91%
24°C 40%
27°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
92%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$32 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
38%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above historical extremes. High humidity levels near 90% and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops, aligning with climatological averages for mid-September in the region. The closely matched market-implied odds around 47% for both sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine short-term model uncertainty over exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which can shift nocturnal temperatures by several degrees. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs ahead of September 18 will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$32Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above historical extremes. High humidity levels near 90% and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops, aligning with climatological averages for mid-September in the region. The closely matched market-implied odds around 47% for both sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine short-term model uncertainty over exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which can shift nocturnal temperatures by several degrees. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs ahead of September 18 will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above historical extremes. High humidity levels near 90% and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops, aligning with climatological averages for mid-September in the region. The closely matched market-implied odds around 47% for both sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine short-term model uncertainty over exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which can shift nocturnal temperatures by several degrees. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs ahead of September 18 will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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