Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Austin overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F. Light southeast winds and limited nocturnal cloud cover allow only modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95–99°F, keeping the diurnal range compressed relative to September climatology. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F, with adjacent bins near 70–73°F reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day moisture. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will determine whether slight cooling or continued warmth shifts probabilities within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 18 de setembro?
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
21-22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
67°F ou menos
7%
68-69°F
11%
21-22°C
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F ou mais
5%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
21-22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
67°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
11%
21-22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Austin overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F. Light southeast winds and limited nocturnal cloud cover allow only modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95–99°F, keeping the diurnal range compressed relative to September climatology. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F, with adjacent bins near 70–73°F reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day moisture. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will determine whether slight cooling or continued warmth shifts probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Austin overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F. Light southeast winds and limited nocturnal cloud cover allow only modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95–99°F, keeping the diurnal range compressed relative to September climatology. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F, with adjacent bins near 70–73°F reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day moisture. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will determine whether slight cooling or continued warmth shifts probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Austin overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the lower to mid-70s, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F. Light southeast winds and limited nocturnal cloud cover allow only modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95–99°F, keeping the diurnal range compressed relative to September climatology. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F, with adjacent bins near 70–73°F reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day moisture. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the date will determine whether slight cooling or continued warmth shifts probabilities within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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