Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 18 point to a sunny, hot day with highs near 97–99°F under southeast flow and minimal precipitation chances below 10%, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms, with afternoon heating and light winds limiting mixing. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact high timing creates uncertainty between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins, while low odds for extremes reflect the limited potential for significant deviations from guidance two days out. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 18 de setembro?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
87°F ou menos
2%
88-89°F
3%
32°C - 32,7°C
4%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
5%
106°F ou mais
4%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
87°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C - 32,7°C
$0 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$16 Vol.
18%
96-97°F
$3 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
37%
100-101°F
$72 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
10%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
5%
106°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 18 point to a sunny, hot day with highs near 97–99°F under southeast flow and minimal precipitation chances below 10%, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms, with afternoon heating and light winds limiting mixing. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact high timing creates uncertainty between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins, while low odds for extremes reflect the limited potential for significant deviations from guidance two days out. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$91Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 18 point to a sunny, hot day with highs near 97–99°F under southeast flow and minimal precipitation chances below 10%, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms, with afternoon heating and light winds limiting mixing. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact high timing creates uncertainty between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins, while low odds for extremes reflect the limited potential for significant deviations from guidance two days out. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 18 point to a sunny, hot day with highs near 97–99°F under southeast flow and minimal precipitation chances below 10%, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have sustained elevated temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms, with afternoon heating and light winds limiting mixing. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact high timing creates uncertainty between the 96–97°F, 98–99°F, and 100–101°F bins, while low odds for extremes reflect the limited potential for significant deviations from guidance two days out. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions