**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 18, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 15°C (46%) and 14°C (28%).** Recent runs from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models show overnight lows around 13–15°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island and relatively mild maritime air moderate further drops. September 2026 has run cooler than historical averages so far, with recent days featuring persistent cloud cover and temperatures in the low teens overnight. This supports trader consensus around 14–15°C rather than deeper cooling to 10–13°C or warmer outcomes above 16°C. Key resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as those monitored by INMET or airports, with any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind potentially adjusting the exact minimum before dawn on September 19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 18 de setembro?
9°C ou menos 51%
19°C ou mais 50%
15°C 46%
13°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
9°C ou menos
51%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
46%
16°C
39%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C ou mais
50%
9°C ou menos 51%
19°C ou mais 50%
15°C 46%
13°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
51%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C
$57 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 18, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 15°C (46%) and 14°C (28%).** Recent runs from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models show overnight lows around 13–15°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island and relatively mild maritime air moderate further drops.
September 2026 has run cooler than historical averages so far, with recent days featuring persistent cloud cover and temperatures in the low teens overnight. This supports trader consensus around 14–15°C rather than deeper cooling to 10–13°C or warmer outcomes above 16°C. Key resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as those monitored by INMET or airports, with any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind potentially adjusting the exact minimum before dawn on September 19.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$57Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 18, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 15°C (46%) and 14°C (28%).** Recent runs from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models show overnight lows around 13–15°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island and relatively mild maritime air moderate further drops.
September 2026 has run cooler than historical averages so far, with recent days featuring persistent cloud cover and temperatures in the low teens overnight. This supports trader consensus around 14–15°C rather than deeper cooling to 10–13°C or warmer outcomes above 16°C. Key resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as those monitored by INMET or airports, with any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind potentially adjusting the exact minimum before dawn on September 19.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 18, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 15°C (46%) and 14°C (28%).** Recent runs from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models show overnight lows around 13–15°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while the urban heat island and relatively mild maritime air moderate further drops. September 2026 has run cooler than historical averages so far, with recent days featuring persistent cloud cover and temperatures in the low teens overnight. This supports trader consensus around 14–15°C rather than deeper cooling to 10–13°C or warmer outcomes above 16°C. Key resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as those monitored by INMET or airports, with any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind potentially adjusting the exact minimum before dawn on September 19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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