**Persistent polar air advection and extensive cloud cover are capping daytime heating in São Paulo on September 16, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered near 19–20 °C.** Official forecasts from the Met Office, Yr, and CGE indicate a maximum of 18–19 °C under overcast skies with light southeast winds and possible drizzle, well below the month’s climatological average of ~26–28 °C. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal recovery as the cold air mass maintains high humidity and reduced insolation. This scientific setup aligns with the market’s tight distribution—20 °C (34 %), 19 °C (27 %), 21 °C (18.5 %)—reflecting trader assessment of forecast consensus and limited upside potential before any warming trend begins later in the week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 16 de setembro?
19°C 45%
20°C 33%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
45%
20°C
33%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 45%
20°C 33%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
45%
20°C
33%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent polar air advection and extensive cloud cover are capping daytime heating in São Paulo on September 16, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered near 19–20 °C.** Official forecasts from the Met Office, Yr, and CGE indicate a maximum of 18–19 °C under overcast skies with light southeast winds and possible drizzle, well below the month’s climatological average of ~26–28 °C. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal recovery as the cold air mass maintains high humidity and reduced insolation. This scientific setup aligns with the market’s tight distribution—20 °C (34 %), 19 °C (27 %), 21 °C (18.5 %)—reflecting trader assessment of forecast consensus and limited upside potential before any warming trend begins later in the week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions