Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid active monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 33°C but frequent rain events often cap readings at the lower end. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59% implied probability reflects the latest model runs emphasizing convective suppression over clear-sky warming, while the 23.5% on 33°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from Lucknow Airport will determine resolution within standard whole-degree thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 16 de setembro?
32°C 59%
33°C ou mais 25%
31°C 15%
29°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
59%
33°C ou mais
25%
32°C 59%
33°C ou mais 25%
31°C 15%
29°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$656 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$890 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$287 Vol.
3%
30°C
$575 Vol.
3%
31°C
$527 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1,139 Vol.
59%
33°C ou mais
$1,100 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid active monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 33°C but frequent rain events often cap readings at the lower end. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59% implied probability reflects the latest model runs emphasizing convective suppression over clear-sky warming, while the 23.5% on 33°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from Lucknow Airport will determine resolution within standard whole-degree thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,940Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid active monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 33°C but frequent rain events often cap readings at the lower end. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59% implied probability reflects the latest model runs emphasizing convective suppression over clear-sky warming, while the 23.5% on 33°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from Lucknow Airport will determine resolution within standard whole-degree thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,940Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid active monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 33°C but frequent rain events often cap readings at the lower end. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59% implied probability reflects the latest model runs emphasizing convective suppression over clear-sky warming, while the 23.5% on 33°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from Lucknow Airport will determine resolution within standard whole-degree thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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