Recent National Weather Service and global model runs indicate a southerly flow ahead of a weak front will support afternoon highs in the low 80s across New York City on September 17, driving the market's tight clustering around 80–83 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from seasonal norms near 77 °F, tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 20–40 % chance of showers that could cap peak readings. Limited spread between the leading bins reflects typical two-day forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any precipitation, with traders weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF updates that favor the upper end of the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de setembro?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
16%
30-30,5°C
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F ou mais
2%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$5 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$245 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$906 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$891 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$1,188 Vol.
16%
30-30,5°C
$47 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and global model runs indicate a southerly flow ahead of a weak front will support afternoon highs in the low 80s across New York City on September 17, driving the market's tight clustering around 80–83 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from seasonal norms near 77 °F, tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 20–40 % chance of showers that could cap peak readings. Limited spread between the leading bins reflects typical two-day forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any precipitation, with traders weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF updates that favor the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,282Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and global model runs indicate a southerly flow ahead of a weak front will support afternoon highs in the low 80s across New York City on September 17, driving the market's tight clustering around 80–83 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from seasonal norms near 77 °F, tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 20–40 % chance of showers that could cap peak readings. Limited spread between the leading bins reflects typical two-day forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any precipitation, with traders weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF updates that favor the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,282Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and global model runs indicate a southerly flow ahead of a weak front will support afternoon highs in the low 80s across New York City on September 17, driving the market's tight clustering around 80–83 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from seasonal norms near 77 °F, tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 20–40 % chance of showers that could cap peak readings. Limited spread between the leading bins reflects typical two-day forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any precipitation, with traders weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF updates that favor the upper end of the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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